Trump's approval rating fell from 92.2% to 9.7% since January 3rd due to the oil agreement and perceived lack of progress

María Corina Machado gained significant support, with 61.2% of respondents wanting her to win presidential elections

The oil agreement granted the U.S. control of 65 billion barrels (21% of certified reserves) and involved controversies around NABEP and corruption allegations

Economic conditions remain severe with 544% inflation and the Central Bank spending $7.2 billion to stabilize the currency

The claims, made testable

• matches in our corpus (not independent) Trump's approval rating fell from 92.2% to 9.7% since January 3rd due to the oil agreement and perceived lack of progress
• matches in our corpus (not independent) María Corina Machado gained significant support, with 61.2% of respondents wanting her to win presidential elections
• asserted — check unavailable The oil agreement granted the U.S. control of 65 billion barrels (21% of certified reserves) and involved controversies around NABEP and corruption allegations (evidence: not measured)

Pattern: 93 related Venezuela signals in the last 30 days on Political polarization, Oil agreements and international relations, Economic crisis, Opposition leadership.

What would change the assessment

• Concrete observable criterion (within 90 days — Meganálisis survey data, official polling methodology)

Grounded analysis — deterministic intelligence + AI synthesis anchored to real signals (deterministic only (no LLM synthesis)). No fact is asserted that the sources do not support.

What the sources establish

• Trump's approval rating fell from 92.2% to 9.7% since January 3rd due to the oil agreement and perceived lack of progress
• María Corina Machado gained significant support, with 61.2% of respondents wanting her to win presidential elections

Actors named in sources

Donald Trump · María Corina Machado · Delcy Rodríguez · Nicolás Maduro · Cilia Flores · Rubén Chirino · Meganálisis · José Guerra

Click an actor to see other briefs that name it.

What's still unverified

• Donald Trump has seen his approval rating in Venezuela fall from 92.2% to 9.7%, a drop of more than 82% since January — Rubén Chirino, president of Meganálisis
• Donald Trump captured and extracted Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on January 3 to be tried for narcoterrorism and corruption in New York
• José Guerra said that the oil agreement is not favorable for Venezuela and that 4.5 billion dollars in bonds were not collected in an auction after handing over 17 oil fields to North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP) — José Guerra, economist
• José Guerra said there was a fiscal sacrifice of 1.7 billion dollars by selling 21% of oil at cost price to the United States, implying a loss of almost 6 billion dollars — José Guerra, economist
• Banco Central de Venezuela (BCV) has sold about 7.2 billion dollars in the financial market so far in 2026